欢迎访问《生态学杂志》官方网站,今天是 分享到:

生态学杂志

• 研究报告 •    下一篇

未来气候情景下中国东北森林生态系统碳收支变化

赵俊芳1;延晓冬2;贾根锁2   

  1. 1中国气象科学研究院, 北京 100081; 2中国科学院大气物理研究所东亚区域气候环境重点实验室, 北京 100029
  • 收稿日期:2008-08-16 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2009-05-10 发布日期:2009-05-10

Changes in carbon budget of Northeast China forest ecosystems under future climatic scenario.

ZHAO Jun-fang1;YAN Xiao-dong2;JIA Gen-suo2   

  1. 1Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China;2Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for Temperate East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
  • Received:2008-08-16 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2009-05-10 Published:2009-05-10

摘要: 应用FGOALS模式输出的未来气候情景数据驱动中国森林生态系统碳循环模型FORCCHN,模拟了东北地区森林生态系统碳收支未来可能的时空变化。预测结果表明:未来平衡发展情景(A1B)气候变化情景下,2003—2049年东北森林生态系统净初级生产力(NPP)和土壤呼吸在达到饱和状态前均呈波动上升趋势,将分别增加10.84%、134.43%,且土壤呼吸的增加速率远远大于NPP的增加速率;2003—2049年,东北森林生态系统可能仍将具有明显碳汇功能,但强度呈下降趋势,将下降95.64%;未来47年东北森林虽然碳汇能力在减弱,但吸碳总量还在不断增加,说明未来47年东北森林对降低大气中温室气体浓度上升以及缓解气候变化将会起到积极作用。

关键词: 二氧化硫, 小麦, 水杨酸, 乙烯, 过氧化氢

Abstract: In this paper, the possible changes in carbon budget of forest ecosystems in Northeast China under the future climatic scenario were simulated by using the forest carbon budget model for China (FORCCHN) driven by the simulated future output data from FGOALS model. The results showed that under A1B (balanced development scenario) and in 2003〖KG-*2〗-〖KG-*7〗2049, the net primary productivity (NPP) and soil respiration rate of Northeast China forest ecosystems had an increasing trend, and the increment of soil respiration rate would be far higher than that of NPP (13443% vs. 1084%). The forest ecosystems in Northeast China would still be an obvious carbon sink, but their carbon-absorbing capability would be decreasing. Nevertheless, the total mount of absorbed carbon dioxide would be still increasing. All of these illustrated that from 2003 to 2049, the forest ecosystems in Northeast China would play an active role in reducing greenhouse gases concentration and in mitigating the impact of climatic change.

Key words: SO2, Wheat, Salicylic acid, Ethylene, Hydrogen peroxide