欢迎访问《生态学杂志》官方网站,今天是

生态学杂志 ›› 2026, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (7): 2426-2438.doi: 10.13292/j.1000-4890.202607.022

• 综合评述 • 上一篇    下一篇

陆地生态系统服务评估模型研究进展与展望

余美霓1,2,许格希1,2*,陈健1,2,刘顺1,2,贾磊1,2,冯哲1,2,孙镇1,2,史作民1,2,3*


  

  1. 1中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与自然保护研究所, 国家林业和草原局森林生态环境重点实验室, 北京 100091; 2中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与自然保护研究所四川米亚罗森林生态系统定位观测研究站, 四川理县 623100; 3(南京林业大学)江苏省南方现代林业协同创新中心, 南京 210037)
  • 出版日期:2026-07-10 发布日期:2026-07-17

Research progress and prospects for assessment models of terrestrial ecosystem services.

YU Meini1,2, XU Gexi1,2*, CHEN Jian1,2, LIU Shun1,2, JIA Lei1,2, FENG Zhe1,2, SUN Zhen1,2, SHI Zuomin1,2,3*   

  1. (1Key Laboratory of Forest Ecology and Environment of National Forestry and Grassland Administration, Ecology and Nature Conservation Institute, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China; 2Sichuan Miyaluo Forest Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, Ecology and Nature Conservation Institute, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Lixian 623100, Sichuan, China; 3Co-Innovation Center for Sustainable Forestry in Southern China, Nanjing 210037, China).

  • Online:2026-07-10 Published:2026-07-17

摘要: 近年来,全球气候变化与人类活动加速了陆地生态系统结构与功能的变化,生态系统服务评估逐渐成为生态学与资源环境管理领域的研究热点。随着空-天-地一体化监测体系的完善以及多源数据融合技术的发展,生态系统服务评估方法正由传统的经验估算向过程模拟、多模型集成与综合评估方向演进。然而,现有研究多聚焦单一模型,对不同类型评估模型的构建原理、适用条件与不确定性缺乏系统比较和研究。本文系统梳理了国内外陆地生态系统服务评估模型的发展与迭代,依据模型运行机理将其划分为过程模型、遥感模型、经验模型和多学科集成模型四大类,重点比较各类模型在碳储量、水源涵养、土壤保持和生物多样性等关键生态系统服务评估中的应用、优势与局限性。分析表明,生态系统服务评估模型已较为广泛与成熟,但仍存在以下3个问题:(1)数据来源以非原位观测的既有数据集和生态系统服务代理指标为主,降低了评估结果的信服力;(2)模型过度依赖简化假设与经验参数,验证和不确定性分析不足;(3)空间尺度与生态过程不匹配,影响模型结果的解释度与适用性。基于此,本文结合当下评估模型的发展趋势从模型参数本地化、多源数据与人工智能融合、多模型耦合等方面提出改进建议和下一步发展方向,为陆地生态系统服务评估模型的选择、优化与集成应用提供参考,以期更好服务于国土空间规划与资源评估。


关键词: 陆地生态系统服务, 评估模型, 碳储量, 土壤保持, 生物多样性

Abstract: In recent years, global climate change and human activities have accelerated the changes in terrestrial ecosystem structure and functions. Consequently, ecosystem service assessment has gradually become a research focus in the fields of ecology and resource and environmental management. Advancements in integrated space-air-ground monitoring systems and the development of multisource data fusion technologies have led to an evolution for the methods used to assess ecosystem services. These methods are transitioning from conventional empirical estimation towards process-based simulation, multi-model integration, and comprehensive evaluation. However, most previous studies have largely focused on individual models, lacking systematic comparison and in-depth investigation of the construction principles, applicable conditions, and uncertainties associated with different types of assessment models. We systematically review the development and evolution of terrestrial ecosystem service assessment models. These models are categorized into four types according to their underlying mechanisms: process-based models, remote sensing-based models, empirical models, and interdisciplinary integrated models. The applications, advantages, and limitations of these models are comparatively analyzed in the assessment of key ecosystem services, including carbon storage, water conservation, soil retention, and biodiversity. A comprehensive analysis indicates that ecosystem service assessment models have been widely applied and have reached a relatively mature stage, but they still face three major challenges. (1) Data sources primarily rely on existing datasets derived from non-in-situ observations and proxy indicators for ecosystem services, which diminishes the credibility of assessment outcomes. (2) Models excessively depend on simplified assumptions and empirical parameters with insufficient validation and uncertainty analysis. (3) Spatial scales fail to align with ecological processes, which compromises the interpretability and applicability of model results. In response to these challenges and current development trends, we put forward suggestions for future improvements from the following three perspectives: model parameter localization, the integration of multi-source data and artificial intelligence, and multi-model coupling. The findings provide a basis for selecting, optimizing and integrating terrestrial ecosystem service assessment models, aiming to provide better supports for land use spatial planning and resource management.


Key words: terrestrial ecosystem services, assessment model, carbon storage, soil conservation, biodiversity