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生态学杂志 ›› 2023, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (2): 415-424.doi: 10.13292/j.1000-4890.202302.007

• 研究报告 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于随机森林模型的青藏高原森林地上生物量遥感估算

张鹏超1,2,梁宇1,3*,刘波1,马天啸1,吴苗苗1


  

  1. 1中国科学院森林生态与管理重点实验室(中国科学院沈阳应用生态研究所), 沈阳 110016; 2中国科学院大学, 北京 100049; 3辽宁省陆地生态系统碳中和重点实验室, 沈阳 110016)

  • 出版日期:2023-02-10 发布日期:2023-07-10

Remote sensing estimation of forest aboveground biomass in Tibetan Plateau based on random forest model.

ZHANG Peng-chao1,2, LIANG Yu1,3*, LIU Bo1, MA Tian-xiao1, WU Miao-miao1   

  1. (1CAS Key Laboratory of Forest Ecology and Management, Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China; 2University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; 3Key Laboratory of Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Neutrality, Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110016, China).

  • Online:2023-02-10 Published:2023-07-10

摘要: 遥感数据可以实时快速获取森林属性信息,利用遥感技术数据估算的森林地上生物量(aboveground biomass,AGB)具有空间连续性且精度较高的优势。与低纬度或低海拔的森林生态系统相比,高寒区因地形复杂、气候特殊,森林属性信息的获取更加困难,因此遥感是获取大尺度高寒区森林属性的重要手段。本研究以青藏高原为研究区,利用MODIS卫星影像和样地调查数据,建立随机森林模型(RF)估算森林AGB,并结合K最近邻算法(KNN)进一步探究该区域主要树种AGB。本研究在不同尺度上验证了模型预测精度,并分析预测变量的重要性。结果表明:(1)建立的AGB估算模型在像元(R2=0.82,RMSE=64.93 t·hm-2)和景观尺度(t=0.15,P=0.88)上皆表现较好;(2)青藏高原森林AGB空间分布呈现由东南向西北逐渐降低的趋势,平均森林AGB为181.28±104.54 t·hm-2;最高的森林AGB出现在海拔1000 m以下,为237.66±60.92 t·hm-2;树种水平上,冷杉、云杉和云南松AGB较高,分别为214.86、216.14和172.24 t·hm-2;(3)地理位置和气候变量在估算AGB时更为重要。本研究结果有助于加强对青藏高原森林资源的了解,提高中国碳动态预测的准确性。


关键词: 机器学习, 地上生物量, 森林生态系统, 遥感信息

Abstract: Remote sensing data can be used for quickly obtaining real-time forest attribute information. Forest aboveground biomass (AGB) estimated by remote sensing data is usually spatially continuous and highly accurate. Due to the complex terrain and special climate, it is difficult to obtain forest attribute information of alpine regions compared with low-latitude or low-altitude forest ecosystems. Therefore, optical remote sensing has become an important means to estimate forest attributes. Based on MODIS satellite images and plot survey data, we estimated forest AGB in the Tibetan Plateau by a random forest model (RF), and further explored the AGB of major tree species by K-nearest neighbor algorithm (KNN). Moreover, we evaluated the prediction accuracy of AGB at different scales. We also analyzed the importance of predictive variables. The results showed that: (1) The AGB estimation model we developed had good performance at both pixel (R2=0.82, RMSE=64.93 t·hm-2) and landscape scales (t=0.15, P=0.88). (2) Spatially, forest AGB gradually decreased from southeast to northwest with an average AGB of 181.28±104.54 t·hm-2. The AGB of forests below 1000 m asl was the highest, with a value of 237.66 t·hm-2. The AGB of Abies fabri, Picea asperata, and Pinus yunnanensis were relatively high, with values of 214.86, 216.14, and 172.24 t·hm-2, respectively. (3) Geographical location and climate were the more important variables in estimating AGB. Our results contribute to improving the understanding of forest resources on the Tibetan Plateau and the prediction accuracy of carbon dynamics in China.


Key words: machine learning, aboveground biomass, forest ecosystem, remote sensing information.