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基于InVEST模型的石羊河上游产水量驱动因素识别

赵亚茹1,周俊菊1,4*,雷莉2,向鹃1,黄美华1,冯炜1,朱国锋1,5,魏伟1,王静爱3*   

  1. (1西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院, 兰州 730070;2甘肃省水利厅石羊河流域管理局, 甘肃武威 733000;3北京师范大学地理科学学部, 北京 100875;4甘肃省土地利用与综合整治工程研究中心, 兰州 730070;5中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室, 兰州 730000)
  • 出版日期:2019-12-10 发布日期:2019-12-10

Identification of drivers for water yield in the upstream of Shiyang River based on InVEST model.

ZHAO Ya-ru1, ZHOU Jun-ju1,4*, LEI Li2, XIANG Juan1, HUANG Mei-hua1, FENG Wei1, ZHU Guo-feng1,5, WEI Wei1, WANG Jing-ai3*   

  1. (1College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China; 2Management Bureau of Shiyang River Basin, Gansu Provincial Water Resources Bureau, Wuwei 733000, Gansu, China; 3Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; 4Gansu Engineering Research Center of Land Utilization and Comprehension Consolidation, Lanzhou 730070, China; 5Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China).
  • Online:2019-12-10 Published:2019-12-10

摘要: 石羊河流域地处中国西北内陆,水资源匮乏,环境问题突出,是典型生态脆弱区,对其上游产水过程的研究将为区域生态系统服务可持续发展提供科学依据。基于InVEST模型,以1986、2000、2010和2015年土壤、气象及土地利用数据作为输入,对石羊河上游近30年产水量进行评估,并应用情景模拟法探讨其对气候和土地利用变化的响应。结果表明:石羊河上游产水高值区集中在西部和西南部,八大水系中,西营河的产水深度(220.97 mm)最大且产水能力(46.05%)最强;各土地利用类型中产水能力最强的是未利用地(55.49%),其次分别为草地(34.52%)、耕地(33.27%)和林地(31.59%)。1986—2015年石羊河上游产水量呈现先增后减再缓升的变化特征,八大水系变化特征差异显著。气候变化是影响产水量变化的主要因素,降水对其影响最为明显;土地利用变化主要通过改变下垫面状况影响实际蒸发量,从而影响产水量。

关键词: 生产能力指数, 生态系统质量, 生态系统稳定性, 生态系统承载力, 遥感, 疏勒河流域

Abstract:

Shiyang River basin, located in the inland of northwest China, is an ecologically fragile area with water shortage and prominent environmental problems. Understanding the upstream water production process of Shiyang River can provide scientific reference for regional sustainable development. Based on InVEST model, we evaluated annual water yield in the upstream of Shiyang River in the past 30 years with soil, meteorological and land use data in 1986, 2000, 2010 and 2015 as inputs and applied scenario simulation method to explore its response to climate and land use changes. The results showed that areas with high water yield in the upstream of Shiyang River were concentrated in the west and southwest regions. Among the eight major river systems, Xiying River had the largest water yield depth (220.97 mm) and the highest water yield capacity (46.05%). The unutilized land had the highest water production capacity (55.49%), followed by grassland (34.52%), cultivated land (33.27%), and woodland (31.59%). From 1986 to 2015, water yield in the upstream of Shiyang River showed a change pattern of increase first, then decrease, and then slow increase. The changes of the eight major river systems were significantly different. Climate change, especially precipitation change, is the main factor affecting the changes of water yield. Land use change affected actual evaporation by changing underlying surface condition, with consequence on water yield.
 

Key words: ecosystem quality, ecosystem productivity index, remote sensing., ecosystem stability, ecosystem bearing capacity,  , Shule River basin