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基于三维生态足迹扩展模型的浙江省自然资本动态评估

晋雪茹1,李晓贤1,张洪铭2,张楠郁1,冯喆1,3*   

  1. (1中国地质大学(北京)土地科学技术学院, 北京 100083;2中国地质大学(北京)经济管理学院, 北京 100083;3陕西省土地整治重点实验室, 西安 710054)
  • 出版日期:2019-07-10 发布日期:2019-07-10

Dynamic evaluation of natural capital in Zhejiang Province based on the three-dimensional ecological footprint extension model.

JIN Xue-ru1, LI Xiao-xian1, ZHANG Hong-ming2, ZHANG Nan-yu1, FENG Zhe1,3*   

  1. (1School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China; 2School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China; 3Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Land Consolidation, Xi’an 710054, China).
  • Online:2019-07-10 Published:2019-07-10

摘要: 自然资本是人类生存的基本条件,也是可持续发展的基础,受到社会各界广泛关注。本文采用三维生态足迹扩展模型对浙江省2000年、2004年、2008年、2012年和2016年的生态足迹广度、深度及生态承载力进行估算,反映自然资本的动态变化。结果表明:2000—2016年,浙江省的人均生态足迹广度呈先增后减的趋势,2012年达到峰值2.7950 hm2·cap-1,浙江省处于严重的生态赤字状态;在区域自然资源供需矛盾日益突出的趋势下,2012—2016年,浙江省的足迹深度由8.2144下降至8.1696,这提供了通过开发节能技术,寻求新型替代能源来减缓生态压力的发展思路;浙江省自然资本透支主要在耕地和草地两种生态生产性土地上,且二者存量的消耗总体上呈持续增大的趋势。本研究结果可以丰富自然资本评价方法,为加快生态文明体制改革、建设美丽中国提供参考。

关键词: 果园, 生草, 土壤肥力, 可持续发展

Abstract: Natural capital is the basis for human survival and sustainable development, which has received wide attention. In this study, the threedimensional ecological footprint extension model was used to estimate footprint size, footprint depth, and ecological carrying capacity in 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 in Zhejiang Province, to reflect the temporal dynamics of natural capital. From 2000 to 2016, the per capita ecological footprint of Zhejiang Province increased first and then decreased. In 2012, it reached a peak of 2.7950 hm2·cap-1. Zhejiang Province was in a state of serious ecological deficit. Under the trend of increasing contradiction between supply and demand of natural resources, footprint depth in Zhejiang Province dropped from 8.2144 in 2012 to 8.1696 in 2016, providing a development strategy for mitigating ecological pressure by exploring energysaving technologies and seeking alternative energy sources. The overdraft of natural capital in Zhejiang Province was mainly on cropland and grassland, and the consumption of whose stocks continued to increase. Our results can enrich the evaluation method of natural capital and provide reference for accelerating ecological civilization system reform and building a Beautiful China.

Key words: orchard, grass, soil fertility, sustainable development