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Analysis and forecast of lifecycle of forest ecotourism area: A case study of Wulingyuan scenic spot.

DONG Cheng-sen1;XIONG Ying2;ZOU Dong-sheng1   

  1. 1College of Bioscience and Biotechnology, Hunan Agricultural University
    , Changsha 410128, China;2Institute of UrbanRural Development and Planning, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410076, China
  • Received:2008-01-03 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-09-10 Published:2008-09-10

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Abstract: Resort lifecycle theory has been one of the hot issues. The researcheson the lifecycle have involved in various types of tourism areas in China, but those on forest ecotourism area are few. Based on Butler’s resort lifecycle theory, this paper analyzed the characteristics of the lifecycle of Wulingyuan scenic spot, a famous forest ecotourism scenic spot in China, aimed to provide a scientific support for Wulingyuan’s tourism development. The results indicated that Wulingyuan scenic spot was at the stage of stable development. The number of tourists till 2010 would reach 27.53845-36.58907 millions. The development strategies of extending Wulingyuan scenic spot lifecycle were put forward.

Key words: Snow hazard index, Remote sensing monitoring, Snow disaster evaluation