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Forecast of Microtus fortis disaster in Dongting Lake region of China.

XU Zheng-gang1,2, ZHAO Yun-lin3, LI Bo1, ZHANG Mei-wen1, WANG Yong1**   

  1. (1 Institute of Subtropical Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Dongting Lake Station for Wetland Ecosystem Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Agroecological Processes in Subtropical Region, Changsha 410125, China; 2University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; 3Hunan City University, Yiyang 413000, Hunan, China)
  • Online:2013-10-10 Published:2013-10-10

Abstract:

An investigation was conducted on the Microtus fortis disaster in the Dongting Lake region of China, aimed to effectively reduce the agricultural production loss caused by this vole. Since 2003, 8 typical sampling sites along the Lake were installed, and the investigation at each site was conducted at least once in each season for more than 3 years. There existed differences in the outbreak risk degree of the M. fortis at different sites, and the East Dongting Lake area was considered as the higher outbreak risk region. The M. fortis population had a singlepeak fluctuation within a year, and peaked in summer. The west bank of East Dongting Lake was the main emigrated area of M. fortis, while the east bank of the Lake was the main immigrated area of this vole, causing the occurrence of M. fortis disaster. There was a close correlation between the quantity and the infection degree of the immigrated M. fortis. Through the analysis on the occurrence patterns of M. fortis disaster at different sites, a corresponding forecast model was established, which could be helpful to the integrative management of M. fortis disaster.
 

Key words: sap flow, thermal diffusion probe (TDP), arid region., penta-needle heat pulse probe (PHPP)