森林型生态旅游地生命周期分析与预测

生态学杂志

森林型生态旅游地生命周期分析与预测

董成森¹;熊鹰²;邹冬生¹

¹湖南农业大学生物科学技术学院, 长沙 410128；²长沙理工大学城乡发展与规划研究所, 长沙 410082

收稿日期:2008-01-03 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-09-10 发布日期:2008-09-10

Analysis and forecast of lifecycle of forest ecotourism area: A case study of Wulingyuan scenic spot.

DONG Cheng-sen¹;XIONG Ying²;ZOU Dong-sheng¹

¹College of Bioscience and Biotechnology, Hunan Agricultural University
, Changsha 410128, China;²Institute of UrbanRural Development and Planning, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410076, China

Received:2008-01-03 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-09-10 Published:2008-09-10

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 旅游地生命周期理论自提出以来受到国内外学者的广泛关注。国内生命周期的研究已涉及多种类型的旅游地，但对森林型生态旅游地的研究尚少见。本文通过引入Butler的旅游地生命周期理论，对我国著名森林型生态旅游地——张家界市武陵源风景名胜区进行了实证研究，分析了该旅游区生命周期的特征，并选择相关模型对其旅游市场发展趋势进行了分析预测，为武陵源景区生态旅游开发提供理论指导。研究表明：现阶段武陵源景区生命周期表现为进入了发展巩固阶段，到2010年景区游客规模将达到2 753～3 658万人次。最后针对景区所处的阶段，提出了延长武陵源景区生命周期的发展策略。

关键词: 雪灾危害指数, 遥感监测, 雪灾评价

Abstract: Resort lifecycle theory has been one of the hot issues. The researcheson the lifecycle have involved in various types of tourism areas in China, but those on forest ecotourism area are few. Based on Butler’s resort lifecycle theory, this paper analyzed the characteristics of the lifecycle of Wulingyuan scenic spot, a famous forest ecotourism scenic spot in China, aimed to provide a scientific support for Wulingyuan’s tourism development. The results indicated that Wulingyuan scenic spot was at the stage of stable development. The number of tourists till 2010 would reach 27.53845-36.58907 millions. The development strategies of extending Wulingyuan scenic spot lifecycle were put forward.

Key words: Snow hazard index, Remote sensing monitoring, Snow disaster evaluation

董成森;熊鹰;邹冬生 . 森林型生态旅游地生命周期分析与预测[J]. 生态学杂志.

DONG Cheng-sen¹;XIONG Ying²;ZOU Dong-sheng¹ . Analysis and forecast of lifecycle of forest ecotourism area: A case study of Wulingyuan scenic spot. [J]. cje.