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南方晚稻寒露风风险要素的地理分布特征


吴立1,霍治国1,2**,姜燕3,张蕾4,于彩霞1   

  1. 1中国气象科学研究院, 北京 100081; 2南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心, 南京 210044; 3中国气象局应急减灾与公共服务司, 北京 100081; 4国家气象中心, 北京 100081)
  • 出版日期:2014-10-10 发布日期:2014-10-10

Geographical distribution of risk factors on cold dew wind of late rice in southern China.

WU Li1, HUO Zhi-guo1,2**, JIANG Yan3, ZHANG Lei4, YU Cai-xia1   

  1. (1Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China; 2Collaborative Innovation Center of Meteorological Disaster Forecast, EarlyWarning and Assessment, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China; 3 Department of Emergency Response, Disaster Mitigation and Public Services, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China; 4National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China)
    .
  • Online:2014-10-10 Published:2014-10-10

摘要:

基于《水稻冷害评估技术规范》行业标准,对中国南方双季晚稻种植区169个气象站1981—2010年的逐日平均气温资料进行分析,以寒露风发生的危险性作为风险要素,在综合考虑寒露风发生概率和发生强度的基础上构建寒露风风险指数,应用GIS技术研究粳稻和籼稻各等级寒露风发生概率和寒露风综合风险指数的地理分布特征。结果表明:粳稻和籼稻各等级寒露风发生概率和综合风险指数大致呈现自研究区西北部向东南部逐渐降低的分布趋势;大部分地区晚稻寒露风的发生概率低于50%,研究区东部和南部的粳稻各等级寒露风以及东南沿海的籼稻各等级寒露风发生概率在5%以下;概率高值区主要位于四川万源、都江堰,陕西汉中以及云南种植区中部等地;综合风险指数的分布特征与重度寒露风发生概率的分布特征基本相同。本研究结果可为南方双季晚稻的种植布局提供依据。
 

关键词: 亚热带滨海沙地, 微生物生物量, 去除根系, 去除凋落物, 微生物群落组成, 酶活性

Abstract: Based on the industrial standard Technical specifications for evaluation of rice cold damage, the data of daily average temperature from 169 weather stations in doublecropping late rice growing areas in southern China during 1981 to 2010 were analyzed. Taking the occurrence risk of cold dew wind as the risk factor, the risk index was established on the basis of the occurrence probability and intensity of cold dew wind, and the characteristics of geographical distribution of the occurrence probability and integrated risk index for eachlevel cold dew wind of japonica rice and indica rice were analyzed by using GIS. The results showed that the occurrence probability and integrated risk index for eachlevel cold dew wind of japonica rice and indica rice presented in a trend of gradual reduction from northwest to southeast in the study area. The occurrence probability for cold dew wind of late rice in most of the study area was less than 50%. Meanwhile, the occurrence probability for eachlevel cold dew wind in the east and south of the study area for japonica rice and in the southeast coast for indica rice was below 5%. The areas with high values of probability were mainly located in Wanyuan and Dujiangyan of Sichuan, Hanzhong of Shaanxi and central Yunnan growing areas. The distribution characteristics of the integrated risk index and the occurrence probability of severe cold dew wind were basically the same. This study provided a scientific basis for the spatial arrangement of planting doublecropping late rice in southern China.

Key words: microbial community composition, root trenching, litter removal, microbial biomass, enzyme activity, subtropical sandy coastal area